Every Fix for a Stablecoin Run Ends at the Fed

The design space for making digital dollars run-proof is small, and every exit from it leads to a public balance sheet standing behind private money.

2026-09-11 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 9 min read

The Next Run on the Bank Won't Look Like a Bank Run

Stablecoins may solve America's Treasury-demand problem. In doing so, they could build the architecture for the next liquidity crisis.

2026-09-10 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 13 min read

The Boom Is the Fuse

A productivity boom and a classic credit crisis are not competing forecasts. They can be two sides of one event — and the boom can be part of the mechanism that produces the collapse.

2026-09-09 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 9 min read

The Salary Is Hourly Billing

The firm that bills by the hour cuts its own revenue when output per hour doubles. So does the worker on a fixed salary — one level down, same division problem.

2026-09-06 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 8 min read

Who Keeps the Dividend

Productivity is rising and the labor share just hit its lowest reading since 1947. The dividend is real. It is not being shared.

2026-09-02 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 7 min read

The Fed Has a Brake for Bubbles. It Has Never Once Touched It.

You cannot lobby a linkage and every governor we've built can be lobbied

2026-07-19 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 11 min read

The Gap Isn't in the Weights

Everyone is clamoring that AI will soon cost more than the engineers it replaces. Most don't understand what is unfolding

2026-07-15 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 7 min read

The Bill Was the Curriculum

What longevity actually delivers, why willpower keeps losing, and the uncomfortable thing about the one reset we know works.

2026-07-09 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 10 min read

The Dishes Were Load-Bearing

What a universal home robot actually does to the household isn't eliminate the argument. It relocates it... usually to worse ground.

2026-06-29 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 8 min read