The Boom Is the Fuse

A productivity boom and a classic credit crisis are not competing forecasts. They can be two sides of one event — and the boom can be part of the mechanism that produces the collapse.

2026-09-09 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 9 min read

The Salary Is Hourly Billing

The firm that bills by the hour cuts its own revenue when output per hour doubles. So does the worker on a fixed salary — one level down, same division problem.

2026-09-06 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 8 min read

Who Keeps the Dividend

Productivity is rising and the labor share just hit its lowest reading since 1947. The dividend is real. It is not being shared.

2026-09-02 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 7 min read

The Gap Isn't in the Weights

Everyone is clamoring that AI will soon cost more than the engineers it replaces. Most don't understand what is unfolding

2026-07-15 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 7 min read

The Dishes Were Load-Bearing

What a universal home robot actually does to the household isn't eliminate the argument. It relocates it... usually to worse ground.

2026-06-29 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 8 min read

The AI Boom Is Being Financed With Money You Can't See

The world's central bank just put a name to it... "shadow borrowing." The same move is running through three markets at once. And the person standing at the end of the chain is you.

2026-06-13 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 12 min read

A Trillion-Dollar Markup

The largest IPO in history prices a trillion dollars of unproven optionality as if it were already earned.

2026-06-06 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 16 min read

We Already Ran the Experiment

The 1948–1973 economy is the control group for everything we're about to do with AI.

2026-04-27 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 9 min read

The CEO Should Have Been First

How AI deployment reveals power structure, not value and what would change if it didn't.

2026-04-26 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 8 min read