Dollars Are for Using. Gold Is for Holding.

The private issuer, the sovereign, and the reserve manager reached the same conclusion about the dollar system from three different directions. The GENIUS Act wrote half of it into law and made the other half illegal.

2026-09-12 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 11 min read

Every Fix for a Stablecoin Run Ends at the Fed

The design space for making digital dollars run-proof is small, and every exit from it leads to a public balance sheet standing behind private money.

2026-09-11 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 9 min read

The Next Run on the Bank Won't Look Like a Bank Run

Stablecoins may solve America's Treasury-demand problem. In doing so, they could build the architecture for the next liquidity crisis.

2026-09-10 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 13 min read

The Boom Is the Fuse

A productivity boom and a classic credit crisis are not competing forecasts. They can be two sides of one event — and the boom can be part of the mechanism that produces the collapse.

2026-09-09 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 9 min read

The Salary Is Hourly Billing

The firm that bills by the hour cuts its own revenue when output per hour doubles. So does the worker on a fixed salary — one level down, same division problem.

2026-09-06 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 8 min read

Who Keeps the Dividend

Productivity is rising and the labor share just hit its lowest reading since 1947. The dividend is real. It is not being shared.

2026-09-02 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 7 min read

The Fed Has a Brake for Bubbles. It Has Never Once Touched It.

You cannot lobby a linkage and every governor we've built can be lobbied

2026-07-19 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 11 min read

The AI Boom Is Being Financed With Money You Can't See

The world's central bank just put a name to it... "shadow borrowing." The same move is running through three markets at once. And the person standing at the end of the chain is you.

2026-06-13 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 12 min read

When the Buildout Becomes the Economy

Infrastructure booms don't cause recessions. They make recessions systemic.

2026-05-26 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 13 min read